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2018-19 NFL Betting Picks: Week 12 Monday

2018-19 NFL Betting Picks: Week 12 Monday

We just missed on our best bet for the 11 game Sunday slate but still finished the day ahead as we hit on six out of 11 bets for the day. An interesting clash between AFC South teams in the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans will round out Week 12 on Monday night and we have our best bet for the clash below.

NFL Week 12 Monday Best Bet
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Monday 26th of November 8:15pm ET 

Texans

After losing their first three games of the season, Houston have amazingly gone on to win their next seven in a row and currently sit on top of the AFC South with a 7-3 record. The Colts are breathing down their neck, however, and Houston will need to win Monday night’s game against the Titans to maintain a two game advantage.

The Texans have opened as slight 3.5 point favourites here as the bookies continue to underestimate them despite winning their last seven games in a row. One could argue that the quality of opponent that the Texans have faced over the last seven games hasn’t been fantastic. Wins over the Colts, Cowboys, Bills, Jags, Dolphins, Broncos and Redskins don’t inspire a great deal of confidence, neither does the fact that just two of those wins have come by double digits.

While the Texans have a 7-3 record overall and are 3-1 so far at home this season, they have struggled to cover the spread. They are just 4-6 against the spread overall this season and 1-3 ATS at home. Their defence has been consistent, however, allowing over 23 points on just one occasion since the start of their winning streak.

Titans

The Titans can draw to within one game of the Texans with a win on Monday night, as they currently sit at 5-5, third in the AFC South after winning two of their last three games. Their season so far has been highlighted by a dominant win over the Patriots at home in Week 10, where put up 34 points and kept the dynamic Pats offence to just 10.

Many will undervalue the Titans after a disappointing 38-10 loss on the road to the Colts last weekend. They’ll be away from home again on Monday, where they have struggled throughout the season so far at just 2-4. Apart from the 34 point performance they put up against the Patriots a few weeks ago, the Titans have scored just 13.8 points in their last five games including a shutout at the hands of Baltimore in Week 6.

Tennessee are the 5th lowest scoring team in the league at just 17.8 while Houston sit middle of the pack at a healthy 23.9 combined with a strong defence. The Titans have been decent against the spread in 2018 at 6-4, but they are just 3-3 ATS away from home. We like the Texans with the home field advantage this Monday.

Pick – Houston Texans -3.5 -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook

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