While we still mourn the fact this is no longer the fight card of Dillashaw vs Sandhagen, we move on to what is a card that has some hidden gem fights that people are overlooking. In the main event Marina Rodriguez looks to continue her surge to the top of the division against the Karate Hottie Michelle Waterson. In the co-main Donald Cerrone has a new opponent in what will be his 37th UFC bout as Alex Morono steps in on short notice instead of now free agent Diego Sanchez. Prospects Gregor Gillespie, Geoff Neal, Amanda Ribas and Phil Hawes are all littered throughout what is an underrated card. We have a look at three on the main card that we can profit off below.
UFC Fight Night Betting Picks
Marina Rodriguez vs Michelle Waterson
Rodriguez really hadn’t done anything worth talking about until she stopped the hyped Amanda Ribas in January this year. Now while that was impressive and showcased her ever improving boxing, it wasn’t anything for mine to make me go she is a top contender. However, I don’t consider Waterson as a top contender either but she has only lost to those that are in her UFC tenure.
Waterson comes from a karate background and while not great on the ground she is better than Rodriguez. This fight likely will be fought from kickboxing range which suits Waterson who is excellent at managing distance. While this likely won’t be an exciting fight, one that is fought on the feet from range heavily favours the American. Therefore, the odds we are getting for the Karate Hottie is daylight robbery.
Rodriguez will need to fight in the pocket and the only way to do that will be to use the clinch and fight Waterson up against the fence. If she can take Waterson down and rack up minutes of top control that would also go a long way to winning this fight but I just don’t see her being able to. So due to the reasons above I am happy to back Waterson at juicy odds to come out on top in the main event.
Donald Cerrone vs Alex Morono
Cerrone v Sanchez was going to be a massacre so I am more excited for this match up. However, I still see Cowboy having the clear advantage over Morono. Morono doesn’t have the skills to get this fight down against a good defensive wrestler like Cerrone. Even if this fight hits the mat Cowboy has a clear edge as his often-underappreciated ground game has seen him submit many foes in his UFC career. This fight likely largely take place from kickboxing range where Cowboy will blast kicks at Morono until he is busted up or out cold. This fight is the perfect fight to keep Cowboy somewhat relevant in the division and keep him as a money maker for the organisation. Simply put, back the much-loved American to get the win.
Maurice Greene vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima
De Lima has one of the worst ground games you will possibly ever see in the UFC, possibly the worst after CM Punk. He has absolutely no clue what to do when he is taken down and it is why he gets submitted every second fight, even by strikers. Luckily for de Lima he packs a ridiculous punch and Greene has little to no offensive wrestling chops to get the fight to the ground. Therefore, it is inevitably going to be a slugfest and, in that scenario, the only way it ends is in a de Lima win. Greene is a personality but he is basic at best on the feet. As long as de Lima doesn’t self-sabotage himself it looks an easy win for the Brazilian.