Only four games on tonight’s slate, but there should be at least three good ones.
We have scoured the major betting agencies to bring you some great plays for the slate on offer this Tuesday. Check out our best pick and value pick below and good luck to everyone following!
NBA Picks – Tuesday, February 4th
Milwaukee Bucks at New Orleans Pelicans
7.30pm ET, Smoothie King Center
Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets
9pm ET, Pepsi Center
At the weekend, in a look to the future, we strongly suggested that, considering the vein of scoring and shooting form that he is in, you should always be looking to take the over with Damian Lillard right now, no matter where his money line is set. Having averaged 48.8 points over his past six games, and in doing so showing that he is the only way that the Portland Trail Blazers have to make the playoffs this season, there is a real incentive for him to try and continue the scoring burst, and every reason for us as bettors to believe that he will manage it.
Somehow, despite the ridiculous production, Lillard did not win the Player of the Week award this past week. You would have to assume that this will only add further motivation.
Fellow MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo is also always motivated, and he has also taken his own scoring progress into the stratosphere this year, averaging 30.0 points per game. He has been able to do this by improving the quality of his jump shot and the frequency with which he takes them, both from beyond the three-point line above the break and also from the mid-range areas (specifically at the top of the key and the left baseline). Teams have long since known that the best way to defend he and the Bucks in general is to wall off the paint if possible, prevent him from getting wide-open dunks fifteen times a game, and encourage him to shoot from outside. Hitherto, he has always been reluctant to do so. This year, however, empowered to let them fly, Giannis seems much more confident and the results are coming around.
Further helping the case for the Greek Freak tonight is that in the New Orleans Pelicans, his Milwaukee Bucks will be going up against one of the lesser defensive units in the NBA. Conversely, Lillard’s Blazers will be going up against the Denver Nuggets, a decent defensive unit and one of the slowest teams in the league. 36 is a lot of points in any game, for any calibre of player, even the very best scorers at the very best of their ability. But Antetokounmpo should feast on a Pelicans transition defence that has not been there all season and that does not have the personnel to wall off the paint, and Lillard can drop 12 points from his recent average and still cross the threshold. This is a very plausible double.
San Antonio Spurs at L.A. Lakers
Staples Center, 10.00pm ET
You do not need us to tell you that the L.A. Lakers are amongst the best teams in the NBA this season, fuelled by the dual talents of LeBron James and Anthony Davis. One of the most successful franchises in the history of the league has finally reascended after so many years in the doldrums.
You also surely will already know that Danny Green is best as a defensive player, one of the best on the wing in the NBA. His offensive contributions are useful, but they are secondary; he is in to play defence, merely spotting up when open and rarely handling the ball.
The threshold for Green in this double is however low, and he will be going up against a Spurs defence that has given up the three-pointer all season. Given his many years there, the Spurs better than anyone know the kind of game that Green likes to play, but knowing that has not seen them be able to prevent players of his type from putting in big performances all season long. Four threes and two transition lay-ups for Green to go with a Lakers win are very much foreseeable tonight.
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