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Geelong vs Brisbane – AFL Picks, Predictions and Best Bets – Round 4

Geelong vs Brisbane – AFL Picks, Predictions and Best Bets – Round 4

Another big round in the AFL gets underway early on Thursday morning (ET). The game of the week sees the Geelong Cats hosting the Brisbane Lions from 5.50am on Friday morning, with the action continuing throughout the weekend! 

We will be previewing the marquee fixture in full as well as giving our betting picks for EVERY game in Round 4 below. 

Geelong Cats vs Brisbane Lions

GMHBA Stadium, Friday 5.50am (ET)

AFL will return to Geelong for the first time this season as the Cats host the top of the ladder Lions. Geelong bounced back from a Round 2 loss with an impressive come from behind victory on the weekend against the Magpies. 

Trailing by 30 points at three quarter time, the Cats booted seven goals to zero in the final quarter to claim a 13 point win over Collingwood, moving to 2-1 on the season and currently sitting in 7th place on the ladder. 

The Lions had yet another win in Round 3 to remain undefeated on the season. They have defeated Port Adelaide, Essendon and North Melbourne to sit on top of the ladder through three rounds and they look like one of the real premiership contenders. 

It was an absolutely dominant performance from Brisbane, as they smashed the Kangaroos to record the first 100+ point margin of the season on the back of brilliant performances from Lincoln McCarthy, Zac Bailey and Jarrod Lyons. 

Season So Far, Geelong:

Round 1 dft. Essendon Bombers by 66 points
Round 2 lt. Sydney Swans by 30 points
Round 3 dft. Collingwood Magpies by 13 points

Season So Far, Brisbane:

Round 1 dft. Port Adelaide Power by 11 points
Round 2 dft. Essendon Bombers by 22 points
Round 3 dft. North Melbourne Kangaroos by 108 points

Although the Lions have looked the better team so far in 2022, the Cats start as favourites here due to their dominant history at GMHBA Stadium. They 3.5 point line in their favour is a testament to their record at home, which has seen them win 16 of their last 19 games at home. 

In fact, the Brisbane Lions have not won a game against Geelong at GMHBA Stadium since all the way back in 2003, a stretch that covers 12 straight games. 

Many of the broader betting public will be on the Lions here purely based on form coming into the game, but if there is one home field advantage that still means something in the AFL, it is that of Geelong. Back them to win the game and cover the small spread. 

Blast From the Past

This week, we’ll be kicking off a new segment in our AFL betting previews, the ‘Blast From the Past’. In this section, we’ll be taking you on a trip down memory lane to the most memorable matchups between the two teams in question to help any readers who might be new to the game of AFL football get an understanding for some of the more exciting events throughout the league’s history. 

Flashback to 2013, the Brisbane Lions trailed the Geelong Cats by a whopping 52 points with a few minutes to go in the 3rd quarter. What unfolded would become one of the most exciting regular season games in history. 

Other Picks

Port Adelaide vs Melbourne
Melbourne by 1-39 (+110 at Pointsbet) 2 Units

Sydney vs North Melbourne
North Melbourne Under 58.5 Points (-110 at Pointsbet) 1.5 Units

Collingwood vs West Coast
West Coast +26.5 (-110 at Pointsbet) 1 Unit

Richmond vs Western Bulldogs 
Western Bulldogs ML (-145 at Pointsbet) 3 Units

Fremantle vs GWS 
Under 157.5 Points (-110 at Pointsbet) 1.5 Units

Essendon vs Adelaide 
Over 173.5 Points (-110 at Pointsbet) 2 Units

Hawthorn vs St Kilda 
St Kilda ML (-119 at Pointsbet) 4 Units

Gold Coast vs Carlton 
Carlton ML (-150 at Pointsbet) 5 Units

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