It’s sort of the Lollapalooza of horse racing. The Breeders’ Cup is a spectacular, two-day celebration of some of the world’s best racehorses. Like the music festival, the Breeders’ Cup always has some can’t miss performances.
It’s also a can’t miss opportunity for horseplayers with great horses, deep fields and super-sized mutual pools that are sure to deliver some fantastic payouts. Let’s see if we can find a few here for Friday.
Breeders Cup Friday Betting Picks
Race 1 - Juvenile Sprint
Let’s start with the first of the Breeders’ Cup races. The $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint, the sixth race in Friday’s program. It’s a short one, 5 ½ furlongs on Keeneland’s turf course. More often, fast and straight is the way to win to win shorter races.
BODENHEIMER (PP: 10 ML 8-1) might be the fastest of the 14 horses in the field. He’s just posted the highest, last race speed figure for this crew. He put that number in the books on this course and at the same distance. A similar race could equal a similar result.
GOLDEN PAL (PP: 14 L 8/5) won his last race at Saratoga, running the same distance on grass. He’s raced three times with the aforementioned win and two seconds; one by a neck and the other by just ¾ lengths. He’ll try to be near/on the lead all the way around the track.
AFTER FIVE (PP: 9 ML 6-1) has raced twice, losing both by a ½ length and by a nose. He’s due to rebound after just missing out in his last two. Horseplayers picked him as the top choice in his last, trainer Wesley Ward finds the winners’ circle at 27% with beaten favorites.
DIRTY DANGLE (PP: 12 ML 20-1) is undefeated in two starts. He got much better in race two compared to his debut. If he makes a similar move higher, he could be three for three. He’s a live longshot.
WIN: #10 BODENHEIMER
EXACTA BOX: #9 AFTER FIVE, #10 BODENHEIMER, #12 DIRTY DANGLE and #14 GOLDEN PA
Race 8 - Juvenile Fillies
Race eight, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies features some of the best, two-year-old female horses. A field of seven, terrible twos will race 1 1/16 miles on Keeneland’s main track for their share of another $1 million.
SIMPLY RAVISHING (PP: 1 ML 5/2) tied for the top, last race speed figure in her third win in three races. She gets a great draw, leaving from the first gate, which win at a solid 18%. She wasn’t challenged by the competition in her last two, today she’ll face a tougher bunch.
PRINCESS NOOR (PP: 7 ML 9/5) is also unbeaten in three races and none of them have been close. Jockey Victor Espinoza has teamed up with trainer Bob Baffert six times in the last two months. The duo won three of them with… PRINCESS NOOR.
DAYOUTOFTHEOFFICE (PP: 3 ML 5/2) makes it three horses with three races and three wins. She is the other to tie for the best, last race speed number. She won a Grade I race at Belmont in her last and could be better today in her second start after three months on the sidelines.
GIRL DADDY (PP: 5 ML 6-1) hasn’t lost a race either, going two for two. She improved big time in race two compared to race one. She hasn’t raced since September 3rd, but her training sessions have been swift. She should be sharp in her return.
WIN: #1 SIMPLY RAVISHING
EXACTA BOX: #1 SIMPLY RAVISHING, #3 DAYOUTOFTHEOFFICE, #5 GIRL DADDY and #7 PRINCESS NOOR
The first day of the Breeders’ Cup ends with the $2 million Juvenile. It features the best two-year-olds in the country and is seen as a possible preview for the 2021 Kentucky Derby.
ESSENTIAL QUALITY (PP: 5 ML 4-1) is undefeated in his pair of races, both as the favorite. He took a major step forward in round two. Expect him to make a similar move forward here. Two-year-olds can be tricky. Brad Cox seems to know how to handle them, winning at 23% with the babies.
JACKIE’S WARRIOR (PP: 7 ML 7/5) is one of the biggest favorites on day one of the Breeders’ Cup. It’s easy to see why. He’s won his four races easily, including a pair of Grade I championships. He’ll be on/near the lead all the way around the track and is the one to beat.
REINVESTMENT RISK (PP: 3 ML 9/2) has raced three times with a win and two seconds. Despite the two runner up finishes, he’s only lost to one horse, JACKIE’S WARRIOR. He might not be able to turn the tables on the morning line favorite, but he might be the second-best horse in the field.
CLASSIER (PP: 8 ML 12-1) won his debut in a field of nine. He wasn’t pushed by the others and still ran one of the best, debut race speed figures. He probably left a ton in the tank and has a lot of room to improve. We don’t know his ceiling; so, he has the most upside in the field.
WIN: #5 ESSENTIAL QUALITY
EXACTA: #5 ESSENTIAL QUALITY or #7 JACKIE’S WARRIOR to win with #3 REINVESTMENT RISK, #5 ESSENTIAL QUALITY, #7 JACKIE’S WARRIOR or #8 CLASSIER to finish second.
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